アートマーケットと現代アート・フリッパーについて Art Market and Art Flippers
The Contemporary Art Market report 2018
簡単で説明しますと、美術品市場調査会社アートプライス (artprice) は早い段階で、中国のアートマーケットも調査しまして、artnet (https://www.artnet.com/price-database/) より細く、正しい情報を発表しています。
ところが、投機好きなアート (Flip Art）の存在を忘れてはいけません。アート・フリッパー (Art Flipper)には、絵画/タブローが「便利な」、使いやすい、アートディーリングの商品です。
私の意見ですが、日本では、アートマーケットがほとんど存在せず、現在と言えるのは、「フランス人」 レオナール・フジタ と 「元アメリカン・アーティスト」 草間彌生 だけ一番ホットなアーティストたちでございます。
As a reference for art lovers, who want to know what some contemporary art flippers practice, and why they focus mostly on painting via auction houses in New York.
The sensitive Japanese art market seems to expand, which should be welcomed. However, Japanese have not forgotten the bubble period with a high grade of fake art news and speculative art operators.
In the context of the speculative art market, I recommend you my following entries:
Mark Bradford + Kerry James Marshall: ‘Black Art’ for American Art Flippers
MAEZAWA Yusaku’s American Artist Darling Mark Grotjahn @ Christie’s London & Lévy Gorvy : Sharp Depreciation
THE TOP 200 COLLECTORS (ARTnews 2018)
From Simulacra to Narrative Perception Art : Exhibition Images
日本の現代アーティスト・トップ 92 （2017年）
Contemporary artists from Japan, Top 92 (2017)
ジョアン・ミッチェルのアート・ディーラーが突然変更に：「このアート界はとても野蛮になった」/ (＋ ポンピドゥー・センター・メッス画像)
In the context of recent changes by Joan Mitchell’s art dealers: : “This art world has become so uncivilized” // (+ pics from the Centre Pompidou-Metz)
Encountering the works by Léonard Tsuguharu Foujita (1)
Hauser & Wirth opens with Mark Bradford in Hong Kong, next will be Tokyo?
“Bribed” journalism at Wall Street Journal: Gagosian pushing up Grotjahn for U.S. Art Flippers, 6 days before the exhibition
Is This the Victory Lap We Were Hoping For? Why We Must Keep Women and Artists of Color From Becoming the Next Victims of Market Speculation
Artists like Avery Singer and Njideka Akunyili Crosby are deserving of rising prices, but should they be at auction?
Lisa Schiff, October 12, 2018
A shift has taken place in the media in recent years wherein talk of the art market has almost completely supplanted talk of art itself. Art-as-investment, price indices, predictions, statistics, and graphs are the new norm for framing art-world discussions. Large sums of money are reported as trading and, although there is little understanding of how these numbers are achieved or guaranteed, a new breed of buyer has entered the market focused solely on a false perception of liquidity. The result is that we see intense bumps in prices for short periods of time, without any substantive data backing them. The spikes can be so high that a free fall feels inevitable.
I don’t think the work of artists this young should be coming to auction at all, nor should there be any resale situation involving prices so high above their primary markets. A healthier situation is a long, slow burn with real context and institutional support.
Could it be the result of the calculating profit drive of a few men of privilege? I can’t answer that, but I know some in the game.
Top 20 Contemporary Art Turnover by Country (2017/2018)
Nr. 6 Japan, turnover: $14,041,933, sold lots: 2,066
Ranking of Auction Houses by Contemporary Art Turnover (2017/2018)
Japanese Inland Art Market, Contemporary Art Turnover
Nr. 16 Mainichi Auction: $7,191,513
Nr. 21 SBI Art: $5,269,302
Auction House Turnover
1 Sotheby’s $533,709,547
2 Christie’s $480,510,215
3 Phillips $290,408,446
4 China Guardian $108,017,151
5 Poly International Auction Co.,Ltd $74,744,711
6 Beijing Council $33,943,228
7 RomBon Auction $16,632,601
8 Council Shanghai $16,482,640
9 Hangzhou Jiashi $16,134,691
10 Beijing Hanhai Art $13,208,466
11 Seoul Auction $11,044,370
12 Artcurial $10,418,102
13 Ravenel International $8,346,666
14 Bonhams $7,933,315
15 Beijing Huachen $7,921,581
16 Mainichi Auction $7,191,513
17 Zhong Cheng Auctions $6,953,902
18 Xiling Yinshe Auction $6,473,963
19 Grisebach $5,978,695
20 Joe Jubilee Beijing $5,425,734
21 SBI Art $5,269,302
22 Dorotheum $5,067,786
23 Ketterer Kunst $4,952,890
24 K-Auction $4,859,824
25 Heritage Auctions $4,408,149
Top 10 下落アーティスト Decreasing Auction Revenue (2017/18 vs. 2016/17)
Artist 2017/18 versus 2016/17
1 Keith HARING (1958-1990) $24,331,489 vs $35,006,680 -30%
2 ZENG Fanzhi (1964) $20,282,825 vs $31,099,780 -35%
3 Anselm KIEFER (1945) $15,211,978 vs $23,999,435 -37%
4 Adrian GHENIE (1977) $11,228,881 vs $28,287,718 -60%
5 Mark GROTJAHN (1968) $9,744,810 vs $39,046,320 -75%
6 Thomas SCHÜTTE (1954) $8,883,570 vs $14,926,572 -40%
7 Sean SCULLY (1945) $7,427,785 vs $11,971,151 -38%
8 LUO Zhongli (1948) $4,568,456 vs $9,803,167 -53%
9 AI Weiwei (1957) $3,702,757 vs $7,082,723 -48%
10 Mike KELLEY (1954-2012) $3,613,359 vs $5,980,107 -40%
Guarantees: the next big art market scandal?
Third-party auction deals have made some people very rich—but they may be bad for the market in the long run
ANNA BRADY, with additional reporting by ANNY SHAW
12th November 2018 10:38 GMT
Follow the money
The extensive use of third-party guarantees is just one sign of the “increasing financialisation” of the art market, says Georgina Adam, editor-at-large of The Art Newspaper and the author of Dark Side of the Boom. “I do think it is worrying… they can reduce the work of art to a purely speculative instrument, and some of the third parties have no real interest in the art—added to which, the deals are hardly transparent.” Although auction houses “run a pretty clean ship”, according to Kenny Schachter, a collector, art dealer and journalist, he adds: “What’s pretty unregulated is what these idiots are doing in the room among themselves.”
One collector, who guarantees around four works a year for an amount “in the tens of millions”, says that funds would be better off protecting the masses than policing an elite market. “I think, in the art world, everyone deserves what they get. These are super-wealthy people playing a game largely fueled by ego and their own conceit about how clever they are at trading in art.”
Guarantees have become increasingly sophisticated. “Some of it is so convoluted that I have a hard time understanding the basic elements because there are so many variations of the guarantee,” Schachter says. These guarantees cannot be seen as formulaic because they relate to the motivations of buyers and sellers, and to market conditions, says Tom Mayou of the London-based advisory firm Beaumont Nathan. Adding to the confusion is the fact that the terms “irrevocable bid” (used by Sotheby’s) and “third-party guarantee” (Christie’s) are essentially the same thing, but are used interchangeably.
Schachter, who also guarantees works, says that there are “only a handful of people who guarantee works at $20m to $30m or more”. The Mugrabi and the Nahmad families are reportedly among them. It was the Nahmad family who apparently gave the highest ever third-party guarantee, at $150m, for Modigliani’s Nu couché (sur le côté gauche) (1917), which sold at Sotheby’s New York for $157.2m in May. So, as Schachter says, you have to know the market “because you’re up against the Mugrabis and the Nahmads… you can’t come in there foolhardy and think you’re going to walk away with a fat profit”.
The London-based dealer Inigo Philbrick offers around 20 to 25 third-party guarantees a year on works by artists such as Rudolf Stingel, Christopher Wool, Mike Kelley, Richard Prince and Wade Guyton. “For me, the best outcome of a guarantee is that you make a lot of money [without buying the work]. Say it’s a million dollars that you’ve risked, then you’d want to make $100,000 to $150,000 as your fee,” he says. “The second-best outcome is that you get a work you were happy to buy at a price you were happy to own it at. The second-worst outcome is that it sells on one bid and you make $5,000, having put in all this effort to negotiate a deal. [And] the worst outcome is the sort of guarantee you do purely for financial speculation and end up with a painting you don’t want to own.”
Yet Adam Chinn, the chief operating officer at Sotheby’s, disagrees that guarantees are conflicting. “You may make the argument that there’s an inequality of information [between bidders], but I don’t think there’s a conflict of interest,” he says. Collectors today are more financially sophisticated, Chinn says, so “if I [the collector] want to buy object A, it makes sense for me to back object A, because if I don’t get it, I get paid, and if I do get it, I wanted to buy object A anyway”. Chinn believes that, in this way, guarantees have shifted from an almost wholesale market to being retail.
“Guarantees are like those ‘no money down, get rich quick’ ads,” Schachter says. “There’s no other speculative vehicle that affords you the upside with only having to pay in the case of a losing scenario.”
Imbalance of information
Last-minute third-party guarantees are also on the rise, with some clients waiting for a catalogue to arrive before combing it for lots to back. Such guarantees are announced in one quick burst just before an auction starts, which increases opacity, the dealer Nicholas Maclean of Eykyn Maclean says. This “rush of information at the beginning of the sale [is something that] many people miss”, he says. “They should be announced lot by lot.”
If a third-party guarantor buys a work, they receive a “financing fee” from the auction house and therefore pay less for the work than any competitors. Other bidders have no idea who is bidding on behalf of the third party—a bone of contention for Maclean, who suggests that “the auctioneer should be the one carrying out the bid for the guarantor, or it should be announced which member of staff is bidding on their behalf. It would be more transparent, particularly to new buyers unaware of the intricacies.”
He cites one problematic scenario. “If, hypothetically, a dealer sees a client who announces they’re going to bid on a painting, the next day the dealer could call the auction house and ask to guarantee it. The temptation might then be for the guarantor to get on the telephone and bid that person up.”
Auction houses put the onus on guarantors to disclose to their clients that they have a financial interest in a lot. But it is unclear whether this always happens, particularly when last-minute salesroom announcements make it impossible for bidders to question their advisers, says Doug Woodham, the managing partner of Art Fiduciary Advisors and the former president of Christie’s for the Americas. “For all they know, the person they asked to bid on their behalf may now have a financial interest in that very lot,” he says. Woodham suggests that collectors have formal agreements with their advisers to prevent this. “But unfortunately, there is no way for collectors to independently confirm their advisers’ actions because the identities of third-party guarantors are not disclosed by auction houses,” he says.
Propping up the market?
Although guarantees have been the subject of criticism for inflating prices, it is hard to imagine returning to a market without them. “When you look at the performance of an artist, you cannot ignore whether or not some of his or her works were covered by third-party guarantees, because this is going to affect the prices,” Bourron says. “If you sell your work without a guarantee, you cannot expect to have the same performance.”
Schachter likens auctions with heavily guaranteed lots selling on one bid to the backer to “a dog and pony show… they’re bringing out these paintings that are, in effect, pre-transacted”. At a conference in April, Amy Cappellazzo, the chairman of fine art at Sotheby’s, seemed to suggest that auctions could become obsolete, because “by the time [the sale] happens, everything that was spontaneous and interesting has already happened”.
Manufacturing a new price level for an artist by giving an artificially high third-party guarantee is possible, but costly to maintain. “Manufacturing prices at auction is expensive; you have to pay a lot of money to the auction house,” Philbrick says. “The market is often too savvy for that. Just because one work sells for X amount, it doesn’t mean that everyone is going to start buying for that amount.”
Although it is currently dominant, the auction market for post-war and contemporary art is only around 20 years old. Only when those with vested interests in artists who regularly appear at auction with third-party guarantees (such as Basquiat, Warhol and Richter) retire or die, or when tastes inevitably change, will these multi-million prices be revealed as being built on firm foundations—or on stilts.
How auction guarantees work
Guarantees ensure that a work is pre-sold at a minimum amount, either backed by the auction house itself (house guarantee) or by a third party, who receives some of the upside should the work sell for more (typically 20%-30% of the overage above the guarantee, although this can be as low as 10% or as high as 50%). The more risk a third party takes on, the higher the potential reward.